LOCAL WEATHER CONDITIONS AT Franklin, Venango Regional Airport Temperature 37.4 F / 3 C Wind Chill 34 F / 2 C Dew Point 37.4 F / 3 C Humidity 100% Wind Speed 4.6 Wind Direction SSE 150 Degrees Visibility 2.5 Miles Sky Conditions overcast at 300 feet Current Weather Light Rain Mist Barometer 29.75 Inches Issued At 01/31/2025 10:56 $$ |
 |
A Special Weather Statement has been issued for Venango county until 4:00 PM.
|
Area Forecast Discussion
Convective Outlooks: Daily Hydrometeorological Data Summary Quantitive Precipitation Forecast Discussion Local Storm Reports (All NWS Pittsburgh areas) Mesoscale Discussions - All States Child Amber Alerts - All States
|
Scroll down for text  
ACUS01 KWNS 311253 SWODY1 SPC AC 311251 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 AM CST Fri Jan 31 2025 Valid 311300Z - 011200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with isolated damaging gusts will be possible this afternoon across parts of the central Gulf Coast. ...Southern AL/FL Panhandle into southwest GA... Water-vapor imagery shows a mid- to upper-level low over the lower MO Valley this morning. This upper feature is forecast to evolve into an open wave and accelerate eastward to the Mid-Atlantic/Carolinas coast by early Saturday morning. Strong southwesterly mid-level flow will move through the base of the larger-scale trough over the central Gulf Coast states today. In the low levels, an effective cold front extends southward through western AL from an occluded surface low over the mid MS Valley. This front will push east during the day with southerly low-level flow acting to advect a still-modifying airmass northward into the FL Panhandle and AL/GA. Scant buoyancy sampled this morning on the 12 UTC Birmingham, AL raob (100 J/kg MUCAPE) will contribute to isolated thunderstorm development today. However, weak lapse rates and weak convergence associated with the front will likely limit storm intensity. Uncertainty remains whether robust updrafts can develop with the low-topped convective band moving east across southern AL this morning. Intensification of this band is quite uncertain at this time given a dearth of a severe signal in convection-allowing model guidance and observational trends trending lower. Will maintain a low-probability wind highlight for now given the aforementioned uncertainty. Elsewhere, weak instability may lead to isolated storms over central GA into the Carolinas later today. Forecast soundings show intense flow fields with 100-300 J/kg MUCAPE possibly developing with a neutral surface-1km AGL layer before frontal passage. Confidence in a strong storm over this region is low---precluding severe probabilities. ..Smith/Bentley.. 01/31/2025 $$ |